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Women's Champions League | Second Round | 1st Leg
Oct 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford

Man Utd Women
1 - 1
PSG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Manchester United Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-2 Arsenal Women
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Manchester United Women 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain Women

Man United will be determined to make home advantage count in Tuesday's first leg, but we think that they will be frustrated and held to a draw by a PSG side that boasts a wealth of European experience. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
32.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.45% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 42.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 58.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.9% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)66.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)25.9% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)60.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.61% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)53.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 32.71%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 42.83%
    Draw 24.44%
Manchester United WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.71%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 42.83%

How you voted: Man Utd Women vs PSG

Manchester United Women
58.8%
Draw
21.6%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
19.6%
51
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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