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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
3 - 0
PSG

Kerr (42'), James (55', 62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vllaznia 0-4 Chelsea Women
Friday, December 16 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-1 Paris Saint-Germain Women

Although PSG are unbeaten in 10 games, we think that they will be edged out by a Chelsea side that have won all seven of their competitive home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
47.75% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 24.76% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 27.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.78% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (-0.139 -0.14)47.86% (0.138 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (-0.127 -0.13)70.04% (0.126 0.13)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.09% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-0.108 -0.11)52.34% (0.106 0.11)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)31.44% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)67.82% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 47.74%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 27.49%
    Draw 24.76%
Chelsea WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.49%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs PSG

Chelsea Women
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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