Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale
Genoa4 - 1Roma
We said: Genoa 0-1 Roma
With Genoa averaging fewer than a goal per game so far - and lagging behind in the possession stats - some sharp finishing from one of Roma's top-notch forwards could prove fatal to the Grifone's hopes of a first home win. Their most recent victory at Marassi was in the Coppa Italia early last month, and that wait will surely go on. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Roma |
30.66% ( 0.52) | 29.04% ( 0.09) | 40.29% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 43.94% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
