Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 76.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Genoa |
76.95% | 15.26% | 7.78% |
Both teams to score 42.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.65% | 41.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.25% | 63.75% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.06% | 8.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.47% | 30.52% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.69% | 53.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.15% | 86.85% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 13.89% 1-0 @ 11.5% 3-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 6.75% 4-1 @ 4.25% 5-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.93% | 1-1 @ 7.24% 0-0 @ 4.77% 2-2 @ 2.75% Other @ 0.51% Total : 15.26% | 0-1 @ 3% 1-2 @ 2.28% 0-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.56% Total : 7.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |