Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
73.3% ( 0.1) | 16.62% ( -0.16) | 10.08% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.81% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.12% ( 0.9) | 39.87% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.76% ( 0.92) | 62.23% ( -0.93) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.55% ( 0.25) | 9.44% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.28% ( 0.6) | 31.71% ( -0.6) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.79% ( 0.7) | 47.2% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.36% ( 0.52) | 82.64% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 73.29% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.62% | 0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 10.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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