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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina logo

Roma
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Lukaku (5')
Cristante (37'), Zalewski (41'), Paredes (80'), Llorente (90+6')
Zalewski (64'), Lukaku (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (66')
Ikone (64'), Biraghi (75'), Duncan (86')
Milenkovic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina do not always travel well, while Roma are a formidable force at home. The Giallorossi should therefore expect to continue their upturn in fortunes, as their squad depth is now quite impressive; helping them stay strong into the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
46.99% (0.20500000000001 0.21) 25.45% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 27.55% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.311 0.31)50.72% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.276 0.28)72.62% (-0.28 -0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.22099999999999 0.22)21.59% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.338 0.34)54.68% (-0.343 -0.34)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (0.075999999999993 0.08)32.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.46% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Roma 46.99%
    Fiorentina 27.55%
    Draw 25.45%
RomaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma
72.5%
Draw
15.9%
Fiorentina
11.6%
69
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-1
Roma
Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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