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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Salernitana

Beltran (6' pen.), Sottil (17'), Bonaventura (56')
Ranieri (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Genk
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Salernitana

As Salernitana have picked up just two points on their travels so far, surely inconsistent Fiorentina can capitalise on home advantage to secure a much-needed Serie A success. While the hosts may lack a consistent goalscorer, their visitors are far from reliable in defence and can be caught out at least once at Stadio Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
73.49% (0.45099999999999 0.45) 16.39% (-0.064 -0.06) 10.11% (-0.385 -0.39)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-1.282 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31% (-0.892 -0.89)38.69% (0.894 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39% (-0.947 -0.95)61% (0.95 0.95)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)9.09% (0.1191 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.1% (-0.286 -0.29)30.9% (0.289 0.29)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.65% (-1.339 -1.34)46.35% (1.342 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (-1.049 -1.05)81.99% (1.051 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 73.48%
    Salernitana 10.11%
    Draw 16.39%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.363 0.36)
3-0 @ 9.68% (0.249 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.8% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-0 @ 2.78% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.096 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 73.48%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 16.39%
0-1 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 10.11%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Salernitana

Fiorentina
84.6%
Draw
12.8%
Salernitana
2.6%
39
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 33
Salernitana
3-3
Fiorentina
Dia (10', 59', 81' pen.)
Gonzalez (36'), Ikone (71'), Biraghi (84')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
2-1
Salernitana
Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
Dia (55')
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Salernitana
2-1
Fiorentina
Djuric (9'), Bonazzoli (79')
Gyomber (22')
Saponara (64')
Milenkovic (82')
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
4-0
Salernitana
Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')

Kastanos (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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