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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Milan logo

Cagliari
1 - 3
AC Milan

Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Cagliari
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-3 AC Milan

Given that Cagliari have scored just one goal across five games without tasting victory this season, we expect AC Milan to cruise to a comfortable victory at the Unipol Domus on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
36.24%27.31%36.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)29.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 36.24%
    AC Milan 36.44%
    Draw 27.31%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.44%

How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari
5.5%
Draw
9.9%
AC Milan
84.6%
91
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
0-0
Cagliari
Kjaer (33'), Calabria (58')
Marin (40'), Carboni (45+1')
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-2
AC Milan

Godin (83'), Ceppitelli (88')
Ibrahimovic (7' pen., 52')
Romagnoli (39'), Saelemaekers (68')
Saelemaekers (74')
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-0
Cagliari
Klavan (11' og.), Ibrahimovic (55'), Castillejo (57')
Saelemaekers (67')

Pereiro (13'), Farago (45'), Cragno (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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