Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
38.01% ( 0.06) | 27.27% ( -0.02) | 34.72% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.49% ( 0.08) | 55.51% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.31% ( 0.07) | 76.69% ( -0.07) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( 0.07) | 28.3% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( 0.09) | 64.02% ( -0.09) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% ( 0.02) | 30.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% ( 0.02) | 66.49% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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