Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
56.38% | 22.4% | 21.22% |
Both teams to score 55.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.44% | 43.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.05% | 65.95% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.73% | 15.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.04% | 43.96% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.55% | 34.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.84% | 71.16% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.65% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 5.28% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-1 @ 5.6% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.08% Total : 21.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |