Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
63.94% ( 0.1) | 21.3% ( -0.29) | 14.76% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 46.73% ( 1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( 1.54) | 49.04% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% ( 1.38) | 71.12% ( -1.37) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% ( 0.54) | 14.66% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.18% ( 1.02) | 42.81% ( -1.02) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.76% ( 1.22) | 45.23% ( -1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.88% ( 0.95) | 81.12% ( -0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.29% Total : 63.93% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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