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Arouca
Benfica
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Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Santa Clara

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Santa Clara

Paulinho (14'), Trincao (22'), Edwards (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sagna (45+2'), Misao (77'), MT (81'), Adriano (85'), Babi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Sporting Lisbon (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave
Friday, March 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Santa Clara

 Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, Sporting Lisbon will fancy their chances against bottom-dwellers Santa Clara. Buoyed by their impressive result over Arsenal in Europe, we predict that Amorim's men will continue where they dropped off last time out and claim a comfortable home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
78.95% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 14.35% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03) 6.7% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 40.08% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (0.1 0.1)41.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (0.101 0.1)63.71% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.53% (0.033000000000001 0.03)8.47% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09)29.37% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)56.21% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)88.59% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 78.93%
    Santa Clara 6.7%
    Draw 14.35%
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
2-0 @ 14.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 11.93%
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 7.37% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.25% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.64% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 78.93%
1-1 @ 6.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 14.35%
0-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 6.7%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Santa Clara

Sporting Lisbon
96.2%
Draw
0.0%
Santa Clara
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Santa Clara
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Tagawa (90+5')
Morita (29'), Santos (90')
May 14, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
4-0
Santa Clara
Tabata (41'), Porro (51'), Sarabia (56'), Edwards (78')
Braganca (71')

Oliveira (69'), Gomez (75')
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Santa Clara
Villanueva (40' og.), Sarabia (65' pen.)
Esgaio (23'), Esteves (90+8')
Lincoln (32')
Carvalho (24'), Crysan (34'), Henrique (90+8')
Costa (63')
Jan 7, 2022 6.30pm
Santa Clara
3-2
Sporting Lisbon
Patric (30'), Lincoln (51'), Antonio (78')
Boateng (60'), Carvalho (62'), Mansur (75'), Costa (79'), Bouldini (88'), Pereira (90+4')
Palhinha (10'), Sarabia (50')
Reis (14'), Paulinho (17'), Esgaio (82')
Braganca (90+3')
Mar 5, 2021 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Santa Clara
Goncalves (22'), Coates (90+3')
Costa (84')
Carvalho (41'), Cardoso (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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