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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Porto

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 2
Porto

Chermiti (90+7')
Reis (42'), Ugarte (68'), Edwards (77'), Adan (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uribe (60'), Pepe (90+4')
Galeno (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 6 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Viseu 0-1 Porto
Wednesday, February 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Porto

 This will be an intriguing battle between a side very strong at home against a side who have been unbeatable for months now. Sporting have struggled to get the upper hand against the other two Portuguese giants this season though, so Porto may just have the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
31.59% (-0.324 -0.32) 26.29% (-0.104 -0.1) 42.12% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (0.343 0.34)52.27% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (0.294 0.29)73.97% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.75% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)67.01% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (0.378 0.38)24.57% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (0.524 0.52)59.06% (-0.518 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 31.59%
    Porto 42.11%
    Draw 26.29%
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.11%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Sporting Lisbon
27.8%
Draw
16.7%
Porto
55.6%
90
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Porto

Ugarte (32'), Paulinho (63'), Goncalves (67'), Reis (90+6')
Paulinho (72')
Eustaquio (10'), Marcano (86')
Pepe (63'), Wendell (67'), Borges (90+6')
Aug 20, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Sporting Lisbon
Evanilson (42'), Uribe (78' pen.), Galeno (86' pen.)
Sanusi (41')

Ugarte (16'), Neto (40'), Morita (42'), Reis (76')
Porro (75')
Apr 21, 2022 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Porto
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Martinez (83')
Evanilson (31')

Porro (89')
Mar 2, 2022 8.45pm
Semi-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Porto
Sarabia (49')
Paulinho (33'), Adan (56'), Coates (57'), Slimani (90+1'), Reis (90+4'), Porro (90+8'), Amorim (90+8')
Taremi (59' pen.), Evanilson (64')
Marchesin (78'), Vitinha (80'), Pepe (90+3')
Feb 11, 2022 8.15pm
Porto
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Vieira (38'), Taremi (78')
Pepe (42'), Otavio (45'), Vieira (82'), Pepe (90+1')
Marchesin (90+10'), Pepe (90+10')
Paulinho (8'), Santos (34')
Reis (1'), Coates (27'), Esgaio (45'), Paulinho (54'), Santos (63'), Palhinha (71')
Coates (49'), Tabata (90+10'), Palhinha (90+10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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