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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Southampton logo

Nott'm Forest
4 - 3
Southampton

Awoniyi (18', 21'), Gibbs-White (44' pen.), Danilo (73')
Lodi (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Alcaraz (25'), Lyanco (51'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest move up to 16th place with a 4-3 victory against Southampton after a nervy finish at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
42.86% (-0.34 -0.34) 27.06% (0.143 0.14) 30.08% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.25% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (-0.467 -0.47)55.8% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.383 -0.38)76.92% (0.38 0.38)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.387 -0.39)25.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.525 -0.52)60.72% (0.523 0.52)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)33.64% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.111 -0.11)70.29% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 42.85%
    Southampton 30.08%
    Draw 27.05%
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.032000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.85%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Southampton

Nottingham Forest
70.5%
Draw
15.5%
Southampton
14.0%
129
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Nott'm Forest
Lambert (8', 24', 82')
Connolly (33'), Cork (51')
Majewski (42'), Derbyshire (7')
Moussi (26'), Gunter (33'), Derbyshire (81')
May 3, 2009 3pm
Dec 20, 2008 3pm
Southampton
0-2
Nott'm Forest

Lallana (19'), Cork (43'), Skacel (61'), Perry (90')
Morgan (42'), Garner (75')
Cohen (26'), Moloney (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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