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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Bournemouth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (50')
Senesi (65'), Lerma (77'), Vina (86')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton's relegation fears deepen after suffering a 1-0 defeat at home to Bournemouth in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 West Ham
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
40.97% (-0.759 -0.76) 26.82% (0.175 0.18) 32.21% (0.584 0.58)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-0.53 -0.53)54.18% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.444 -0.44)75.59% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)26.03% (0.642 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.87 -0.87)61.06% (0.869 0.87)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.129 0.13)31.29% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.149 0.15)67.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 40.97%
    Bournemouth 32.21%
    Draw 26.81%
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.227 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Southampton vs Bournemouth

Southampton
45.7%
Draw
16.4%
Bournemouth
37.9%
140
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
Jul 19, 2020 2pm
Sep 20, 2019 8pm
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
gameweek 36
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Long (12'), Ward-Prowse (55'), Targett (67')
Romeu (26'), Long (35')
Gosling (20'), Wilson (32', 86')
Gosling (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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