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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brentford logo

Brighton
2 - 1
Brentford

Gross (31'), Hinshelwood (52')
Paul van Hecke (25'), Buonanotte (45+7'), Gilmour (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbeumo (27' pen.)
Wissa (76')

The Match

Match Report

Jack Hinshelwood scores his first goal in senior football as Brighton & Hove Albion come from a goal down to beat Brentford 2-1 at the Amex Stadium in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Luton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
67.04% (-0.398 -0.4) 18.45% (0.176 0.18) 14.51% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.342 -0.34)36.83% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99% (-0.375 -0.38)59.01% (0.377 0.38)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.86% (-0.191 -0.19)10.14% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.65% (-0.438 -0.44)33.35% (0.442 0.44)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (0.085000000000001 0.09)38% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (0.083000000000002 0.08)74.77% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 67.04%
    Brentford 14.51%
    Draw 18.45%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.73% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.51%

How you voted: Brighton vs Brentford

Brighton & Hove Albion
61.1%
Draw
30.9%
Brentford
8.0%
162
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2023 10.30pm
Club Friendlies
Brentford
0-2
Brighton

Onyeka (31'), Zanka (41')
Adingra (19', 58')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brighton
3-3
Brentford
Mitoma (21'), Welbeck (28'), Mac Allister (90' pen.)
Jansson (10'), Toney (22'), Pinnock (49')
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Brentford
2-0
Brighton
Toney (27', 64' pen.)
Jul 26, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Brighton
0-1
Brentford
Toney (80')
Dec 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Brighton
2-0
Brentford
Trossard (34'), Maupay (42')
Webster (59')

Bech Sorensen (38'), Norgaard (45'), Toney (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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