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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brighton logo

Brentford
2 - 0
Brighton

Toney (27', 64' pen.)
Frank (44'), Jensen (45+1'), Baptiste (90+2'), Toney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Zerbi (44'), Caicedo (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brentford have fared better on home soil so far this term, but they come up against a Brighton outfit who have lost only two of their last 13 Premier League games. We can see De Zerbi's attackers taking advantage of Brentford's leaky backline, with the Italian securing his first win as head coach of the Seagulls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
32.21% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33) 25.64% (-0.11 -0.11) 42.15% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.375 0.38)49.35% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.335 0.34)71.4% (-0.33399999999999 -0.33)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)64.74% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.381 0.38)23.26% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (0.552 0.55)57.18% (-0.552 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 32.21%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 42.15%
    Draw 25.63%
BrentfordDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.15%

How you voted: Brentford vs Brighton

Brentford
23.7%
Draw
18.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
57.4%
392
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 8pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Brentford
0-1
Brighton

Canos (6'), Mbeumo (17'), Ajer (74')
Trossard (90')
Veltman (55'), Duffy (57')
Feb 5, 2017 3pm
Brentford
3-3
Brighton
Jota (15'), Dean (22'), Kerschbaumer (94')
McEachran (64'), Kerschbaumer (91')
March (75'), Duffy (78'), Hemed (97')
Sidwell (64'), Saltor (95')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Brighton
0-2
Brentford

Knockaert (32'), Hemed (45'), Bong (60'), Manu (63'), Stephens (75')
Hogan (29', 70')
Woods (26'), Egan (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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