Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Burnley |
31.55% ( -0.04) | 26.32% ( -0.03) | 42.13% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.59% ( 0.11) | 52.41% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.91% ( 0.1) | 74.09% ( -0.1) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( 0.04) | 30.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.87% ( 0.04) | 67.13% ( -0.04) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.37% ( 0.09) | 24.62% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.86% ( 0.12) | 59.13% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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