Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
45.91% ( -0.01) | 25.49% ( -0) | 28.6% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% ( 0.02) | 50.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( 0.02) | 72.21% ( -0.02) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.12% ( 0.01) | 21.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.87% ( 0.01) | 55.13% ( -0.01) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.14% ( 0.02) | 31.86% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.7% ( 0.02) | 68.3% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.91% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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