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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brentford
2 - 0
Bournemouth

Toney (39' pen.), Jensen (75')
Raya (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neto (38')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford move up into eighth in the Premier League after beating Bournemouth 2-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
55.93% (0.211 0.21) 23.16% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 20.91% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.25% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)69.48% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)16.72% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (0.125 0.13)46.62% (-0.127 -0.13)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-0.177 -0.18)36.85% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (-0.174 -0.17)73.63% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 55.92%
    Bournemouth 20.91%
    Draw 23.16%
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 55.92%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Brentford vs Bournemouth

Brentford
84.8%
Draw
9.3%
Bournemouth
6.0%
151
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 22, 2021 12.30pm
Brentford
3-1
Bournemouth
Toney (16' pen.), Janelt (50'), Forss (81')
Toney (17'), Jansson (78'), Dalsgaard (90+1')
Danjuma (5')
Begovic (17'), Lerma (45+5'), Stacey (90+3')
Mepham (28')
May 17, 2021 6pm
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
Bournemouth
0-1
Brentford

Lerma (68')
Mbeumo (77')
Jansson (25'), Forss (68'), Toney (80'), Janelt (87')
Jansson (50')
Dec 30, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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