Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
29.08% ( 0.11) | 29.29% ( 0.87) | 41.63% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 42.7% ( -2.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.19% ( -2.75) | 63.8% ( 2.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.95% ( -2.01) | 83.05% ( 2.01) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.24% ( -1.44) | 38.76% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% ( -1.39) | 75.49% ( 1.39) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( -1.9) | 30.27% ( 1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( -2.33) | 66.44% ( 2.33) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.55% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 1.15) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 14.02% ( 0.69) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.35% Total : 41.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |