Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
46.33% ( 0.73) | 25.12% ( -0.14) | 28.56% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.25% ( 0.26) | 48.75% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.15% ( 0.24) | 70.86% ( -0.24) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.93% ( 0.43) | 21.07% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.12% ( 0.67) | 53.88% ( -0.67) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( -0.3) | 31.11% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( -0.35) | 67.43% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |