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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
First Tennessee Park
New York Red Bulls

Nashville
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls


Picault (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tolkin (90+4' pen.)
Reyes (39'), Amaya (45+1'), Nealis (45+6'), Duncan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-3 New York Red Bulls

Given the stakes of Saturday's game, we expect New York Red Bulls to throw the kitchen sink in search of all three points at Geodis Park. The Red Bulls have enjoyed the better of this fixture and given their current run of form, we fancy them to extend their dominance over Nashville.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew York Red Bulls
50.73% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 25.65% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.62% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.52% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)54.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.74% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.46% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)54.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78% (0.043999999999997 0.04)38.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)74.98% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 50.73%
    New York Red Bulls 23.62%
    Draw 25.65%
Nashville SCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Nashville vs NY Red Bulls

Nashville SC
26.9%
Draw
26.9%
New York Red Bulls
46.2%
26
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Nashville
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Williams (37')
Godoy (76')
Gomes (1')
Davis (14'), Diarra (86')
Jun 19, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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