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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati have already clinched the Supporters' Shield, but we are not expecting a drop in performances levels as members of the squad attempt to impress Noonan in order to start in the playoffs. New York Red Bulls face a tough trio of fixtures as they attempt to sneak into the top nine of the Eastern Conference, and we feel their efforts will be unrewarded at TQL Field on Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
53.37% (0.13 0.13) 24.37% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 22.25% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 50.7% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)50.69% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)72.59% (0.041999999999987 0.04)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (0.055 0.05)50.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)37.46% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.13 -0.13)74.25% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.37%
    New York Red Bulls 22.25%
    Draw 24.37%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.25%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
78.6%
Draw
0.0%
New York Red Bulls
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
May 24, 2023
12.30am
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
First Round
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Morgan (48')
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
Aug 20, 2022 11pm
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Blackett (2'), Cruz (30'), Kubo (90+1')
Cruz (58'), Acosta (90+3')
Tolkin (30'), Edwards (45'), Long (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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