Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
43.8% ( 0.12) | 26.84% ( -0.05) | 29.36% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.54% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.75% ( 0.18) | 55.25% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.52% ( 0.15) | 76.48% ( -0.15) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( 0.14) | 25.05% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% ( 0.19) | 59.73% ( -0.19) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.1% ( 0.05) | 33.9% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.43% ( 0.05) | 70.57% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |