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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Walsall

MK Dons
5 - 0
Walsall

Tezgel (28'), Dean (59' pen., 78'), Gilbey (62'), Tomlinson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (68'), Adegboyega (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two

Walsall

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Walsall

 Both teams are aiming to be promoted out of League Two this season, and that makes matches like this crucially important, but can also lead to cautious displays. Considering they are each coming into this one on the back of poor performances, it could be a case of taking a point that is better than gambling for all three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWalsall
52.31% (-0.067 -0.07) 22.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)39.66% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)62.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)15.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)43.96% (0.064 0.06)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.018999999999991 0.02)28.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.023000000000003 0.02)64.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.31%
    Walsall 25.17%
    Draw 22.51%
MK DonsDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 25.17%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Walsall

MK Dons
100%
Draw
0.0%
Walsall
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Walsall
0-0
MK Dons
McEntee (27'), Hutchinson (41'), Williams (53')
Harrison (24'), Gilbey (66'), Norman (67')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Walsall
0-2
MK Dons
Lawrence (62'), Holland (90+3')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Walsall
1-0
MK Dons
Ngoy (70')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-1
Walsall
Aneke (24')
Ebanks-Landell (57')
Roberts (58' pen.)
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Walsall
1-4
MK Dons
Oztumer (84')
Muirhead (11'), Reeves (32'), O'Keefe (71'), Barnes (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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