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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
35.75% ( 0.23) | 25.41% ( -0.03) | 38.84% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 56.2% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.37% ( 0.13) | 47.62% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.17% ( 0.12) | 69.82% ( -0.13) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( 0.2) | 25.88% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( 0.27) | 60.86% ( -0.27) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -0.05) | 24.18% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.49% ( -0.08) | 58.5% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.75% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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