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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
33.21% ( -0.14) | 24.64% ( -0.02) | 42.15% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.39% ( 0.05) | 44.61% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.03% ( 0.05) | 66.97% ( -0.05) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% ( -0.06) | 25.94% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% ( -0.08) | 60.94% ( 0.08) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.77% ( 0.1) | 21.23% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.88% ( 0.15) | 54.12% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |