Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Mallorca |
36.07% ( -0.15) | 29.76% ( 0.25) | 34.16% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 42.74% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.63% ( -0.8) | 64.37% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.55% ( -0.57) | 83.45% ( 0.57) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.03% ( -0.52) | 33.97% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.35% ( -0.56) | 70.65% ( 0.56) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.73% ( -0.5) | 35.26% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.98% ( -0.52) | 72.02% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.75% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.12% Total : 34.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
R | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |