Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
57.88% ( 0.02) | 24.72% ( -0.01) | 17.4% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 42.56% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.33% ( 0.01) | 57.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.57% ( 0.01) | 78.43% ( -0.01) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 0.01) | 19.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.01% ( 0.02) | 51.98% ( -0.02) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.12% ( -0.01) | 46.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.6% ( -0.01) | 82.39% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 15.05% 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 57.87% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |