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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Notts County
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County

Stockport have seen three of their last four matches finish all square, and we think that they will have to settle for another draw in Monday's tricky away clash with an in-form Crawley side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
31.59% (-0.414 -0.41) 23.22% (0.229 0.23) 45.18% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-1.057 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.49% (-1.301 -1.3)38.5% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (-1.392 -1.39)60.79% (1.394 1.39)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (-0.869 -0.87)23.96% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-1.258 -1.26)58.2% (1.26 1.26)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (-0.44 -0.44)17.43% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)47.88% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 31.59%
    Stockport County 45.18%
    Draw 23.22%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.97% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.254 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.342 0.34)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
47.3%
Draw
16.4%
Stockport County
36.4%
110
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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