MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 17:40:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2024 at 2pm UK
Antakya Ataturk Stadi

Hatayspor
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Massanga (41', 90+5'), Strandberg (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lasagna (86')
Ceccherini (48'), Keles (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 0-1 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Karagumruk's away form has been abysmal this season and this will give Hatayspor the upper hand in this fixture. The Star of the South will be looking to convert their home draws into wins, and this is the perfect opponent for them to achieve that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
48.88% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 24.52% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 26.59% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)47.48% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.69% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (0.044000000000011 0.04)19.47% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (0.071999999999996 0.07)51.33% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)31.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.39% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 48.88%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.59%
    Draw 24.52%
HataysporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Karagumruk

Hatayspor
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Fatih Karagumruk
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Karagumruk
0-0
Hatayspor
Sturaro (59'), Mendes (62'), Yalcin (90+9')
Lamkel Ze (45'), Kardesler (90+9')
Apr 16, 2023 5pm
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
3-0
Hatayspor
Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Hatayspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Lobzhanidze (29'), El Kaabi (34', 58')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray36323189246599
2Fenerbahce36296192316193
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor372041365481764
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul371771351411058
5BesiktasBesiktas37168135145656
6KasimpasaKasimpasa37158146064-453
7AlanyasporAlanyaspor371215105249351
8SivassporSivasspor371312124553-851
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor37148154856-850
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor371212134348-548
11Adana Demirspor371014135255-344
12Samsunspor371110164149-843
13KayserisporKayserispor371112144355-1242
14GaziantepGaziantep37118184957-841
15KonyasporKonyaspor37914143950-1141
16AnkaragucuAnkaragucu37816134448-440
17Hatayspor37814154352-938
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk37910184651-537
19Pendikspor37910184272-3037
RIstanbulspor3747262774-4716


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