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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Lecce logo

Salernitana
0 - 1
Lecce


Coulibaly (30'), Maggiore (45'), Pirola (73'), Zanoli (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyomber (17' og.)
Ramadani (49'), Piccoli (54'), Pongracic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 4-2 Salernitana
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-0 Lecce

It is unknown how Gotti's Lecce appointment elicits a reaction in the struggling side, but erring on the side of caution is the sensible move to opt for a scoreless draw at the Arechi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawLecce
32.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 26.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 41.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.2 0.2)52.99% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.171 0.17)74.58% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.163 0.16)30.75% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.192 0.19)67.01% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.064000000000007 0.06)25.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.04% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.13%
    Lecce 41.35%
    Draw 26.5%
SalernitanaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.35%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Lecce

Salernitana
32.3%
Draw
33.9%
Lecce
33.9%
62
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Krstovic (6'), Espeto (90+8' pen.)
Kaba (30'), Banda (42'), Gonzalez (90+4'), D'Aversa (90')

Lovato (17'), Legowski (76'), Bohinen (83')
Jan 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-2
Salernitana
Espeto (23')
Dia (5'), Vilhena (20')
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (55' og.)
Ceesay (43'), Espeto (83')
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Pettinari (44'), Maggio (72')

Bogdan (64')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 12
Salernitana
1-1
Lecce
Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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