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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Hellas Verona logo

Lecce
0 - 1
Hellas Verona


Banda (37'), Sansone (79'), Pongracic (90+1')
D'Aversa (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Folorunsho (17')
Tchatchoua (43'), Silva (84'), Henry (90+1')
Henry (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 3 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-0 Hellas Verona

Neither side is prolific, but Lecce are far harder to beat at Via del Mare, where they have picked up the bulk of their points this season. Verona can barely buy a goal on the road, and they may suffer an 11th away loss of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawHellas Verona
45.65% (0.24 0.24) 27.3% (-0.038 -0.04) 27.04% (-0.203 -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02)58.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (0.02 0.02)78.73% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.131 0.13)25.38% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81% (0.177 0.18)60.19% (-0.177 -0.18)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)37.24% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-0.153 -0.15)74.03% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 45.65%
    Hellas Verona 27.05%
    Draw 27.3%
LecceDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Lecce vs Hellas Verona

Lecce
55.0%
Draw
23.3%
Hellas Verona
21.7%
60
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Hellas Verona
2-2
Lecce
Ngonge (41'), Djuric (77')
Duda (3')
Oudin (30'), Gonzalez (69')
Dorgu (5'), Banda (23')
May 7, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Hellas Verona
2-0
Lecce
Depaoli (40'), Lazovic (54')
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Hellas Verona
3-0
Lecce
Dawidowicz (19'), Pessina (34'), Pazzini (86' pen.)
Faraoni (30'), Amrabat (65')

Tachtsidis (15'), Dell'Orco (58')
Dell'Orco (68')
Sep 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Lecce
0-1
Hellas Verona

Rossettini (22'), Majer (85')
Pessina (81')
Kumbulla (3'), Gunter (65'), Verre (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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