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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Roma
2 - 4
Inter Milan

Mancini (28'), El Shaarawy (44')
Mancini (47'), Huijsen (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Acerbi (17'), Thuram (49'), Angelino (56' og.), Bastoni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Cagliari
Monday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-2 Inter Milan

Two teams in fine form meet on Saturday evening, when the hosts' new-found confidence will be truly put to the test. Roma (15) and Inter (14) have scored more goals than any other sides in the final 15 minutes of Serie A matches this season, so it could make for an eventful climax. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawInter Milan
33.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 27.26% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 38.94% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.205 -0.2)55.61% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.168 -0.17)76.77% (0.167 0.17)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.95% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)67.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.181 -0.18)27.81% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.229 -0.23)63.4% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Roma 33.79%
    Inter Milan 38.94%
    Draw 27.25%
RomaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.79%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma
22.0%
Draw
14.4%
Inter Milan
63.6%
118
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Inter Milan
1-0
Roma
Thuram (81')
Pavard (33'), Calhanoglu (56'), Bastoni (64')

Mancini (13'), N'Dicka (47'), Paredes (50'), Cristante (68')
May 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Roma
0-2
Inter Milan
Dimarco (33'), Lukaku (74')
Oct 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 8
Inter Milan
1-2
Roma
Dimarco (30')
Dybala (39'), Smalling (75')
Apr 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')
Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
2-0
Roma
Dzeko (2'), Sanchez (68')

Zaniolo (37'), Mancini (38'), Mourinho (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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