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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Roma
2 - 4
Inter Milan

Mancini (28'), El Shaarawy (44')
Mancini (47'), Huijsen (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Acerbi (17'), Thuram (49'), Angelino (56' og.), Bastoni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Cagliari
Monday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-2 Inter Milan

Two teams in fine form meet on Saturday evening, when the hosts' new-found confidence will be truly put to the test. Roma (15) and Inter (14) have scored more goals than any other sides in the final 15 minutes of Serie A matches this season, so it could make for an eventful climax. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawInter Milan
33.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 27.26% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 38.94% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.205 -0.2)55.61% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.168 -0.17)76.77% (0.167 0.17)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.95% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)67.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.181 -0.18)27.81% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.229 -0.23)63.4% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Roma 33.79%
    Inter Milan 38.94%
    Draw 27.25%
RomaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.79%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma
22.0%
Draw
14.4%
Inter Milan
63.6%
118
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Inter Milan
1-0
Roma
Thuram (81')
Pavard (33'), Calhanoglu (56'), Bastoni (64')

Mancini (13'), N'Dicka (47'), Paredes (50'), Cristante (68')
May 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Roma
0-2
Inter Milan
Dimarco (33'), Lukaku (74')
Oct 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 8
Inter Milan
1-2
Roma
Dimarco (30')
Dybala (39'), Smalling (75')
Apr 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')
Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
2-0
Roma
Dzeko (2'), Sanchez (68')

Zaniolo (37'), Mancini (38'), Mourinho (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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