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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Inter logo

Monza
1 - 5
Inter Milan

Pessina (69' pen.)
Colpani (5'), Birindelli (70')
Palladino (6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calhanoglu (12' pen., 60'), Martinez (14', 84' pen.), Thuram (88')
Calhanoglu (58'), Pavard (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 0-2 Inter Milan

Inter have scored in 27 consecutive Serie A matches - their last goalless league game incidentally came versus Monza, in April 2023 - and that streak should continue. The Nerazzurri can sign off for their sojourn to Saudi Arabia with another win, putting the pressure on closest challengers Juventus to respond. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawInter Milan
27.04% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 25.15% (0.00099999999999767 0) 47.81% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)49.83% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)71.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)32.83% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.106 -0.11)69.39% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Monza 27.04%
    Inter Milan 47.8%
    Draw 25.15%
MonzaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.04%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.41% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Monza vs Inter Milan

Monza
11.7%
Draw
6.7%
Inter Milan
81.7%
60
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
2-0
Monza
Martinez (8', 76')
Martinez (32')

Caldirola (41')
Apr 15, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
2-2
Inter Milan
Ciurria (11'), Dumfries (90+3' og.)
Darmian (10'), Martinez (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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