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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Juventus


Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, October 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Juventus

All competitions
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Torino
Saturday, October 7 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Juventus

 Without a couple of key players due to suspension, Milan may be considered vulnerable going into Sunday's late kickoff. Nevertheless, the Rossoneri still possess an attacking trident that can pierce Juve's watertight defence. One goal could decide a tight contest: in eight of the last 11 Serie A meetings between these teams at San Siro, at least one has failed to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawJuventus
48.58% (-0.611 -0.61) 25.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 26.09% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 51.82% (0.856 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (0.82 0.82)51.2% (-0.816 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (0.712 0.71)73.04% (-0.708 -0.71)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.074000000000012 0.07)21.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (0.112 0.11)53.91% (-0.108 -0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (1.024 1.02)34.32% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (1.082 1.08)71.03% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 48.57%
    Juventus 26.09%
    Draw 25.32%
AC MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.57%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan
63.9%
Draw
22.9%
Juventus
13.2%
144
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2023 3.30am
Club Friendlies
Juventus
2-2
AC Milan
 Juventus win 0-0 on penalties
Danilo (33'), Rugani (48')
Locatelli (54')
Thiaw (23'), Giroud (39')
Thiaw (15')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Juventus
0-1
AC Milan

Cuadrado (56')
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus
Leao (12'), Messias (42')
Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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