Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
39.27% ( -0.01) | 24.42% ( -0.02) | 36.32% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.05% ( 0.12) | 42.95% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.65% ( 0.12) | 65.35% ( -0.11) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% ( 0.04) | 21.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.86% ( 0.07) | 55.14% ( -0.07) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 0.08) | 23.4% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( 0.11) | 57.38% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |