Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
47.99% ( 0.4) | 26.77% ( 0.09) | 25.24% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.76% ( -0.67) | 57.23% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.92% ( -0.54) | 78.08% ( 0.53) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% ( -0.1) | 23.9% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.89% ( -0.15) | 58.11% ( 0.14) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.66% ( -0.81) | 38.34% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.9% ( -0.78) | 75.09% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |