Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
45.12% ( -1.39) | 25.99% ( 0.22) | 28.89% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.86% ( -0.27) | 52.14% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.14% ( -0.23) | 73.85% ( 0.23) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.95% ( -0.76) | 23.04% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.13% ( -1.12) | 56.87% ( 1.12) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.38% ( 0.75) | 32.61% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.84% ( 0.83) | 69.15% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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