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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga

Benfica
1 - 0
Braga

Silva (67')
Otamendi (34'), Neves (41'), Mario (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Horta (45+5'), Sequeira (90'), Djalo (90+12'), Bruma (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 1-0 Braga

 Benfica have been edging past opponents and just about getting the job done to cling onto their lead at the top, and it will be a big statement if they can again. Both sides have match winners, and Braga may be more confident at the moment, but on the big occasions domestically, Benfica often show up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
59.87% (0.644 0.64) 20.45% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 19.67% (-0.7 -0.7)
Both teams to score 59.87% (-1.419 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.31% (-1.306 -1.31)36.69% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.15% (-1.434 -1.43)58.85% (1.428 1.43)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (-0.23 -0.23)11.96% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.63% (-0.485 -0.48)37.36% (0.479 0.48)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-1.433 -1.43)31.99% (1.428 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55% (-1.665 -1.67)68.45% (1.66 1.66)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 59.87%
    Braga 19.67%
    Draw 20.45%
BenficaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.395 0.4)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.441 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.227 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.24% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 59.87%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.239 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.45%
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica
61.5%
Draw
20.5%
Braga
17.9%
39
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Braga
1-1
Benfica
 Braga win 5-4 on penalties
Elmusrati (36')
Racic (55'), Castro (88'), Niakate (92'), Tormena (100'), Oliveira (106'), Banza (113')
Guedes (15')
Otamendi (83'), Vlachodimos (111'), Morato (115')
Bah (31'), Morato (120')
Dec 30, 2022 9.15pm
gameweek 14
Braga
3-0
Benfica
Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')

Luis (27')
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 28
Braga
3-2
Benfica
Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 11
Benfica
6-1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')
May 23, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Braga
2-0
Benfica
Piazon (45+3'), Horta (85')
Esgaio (35'), Elmusrati (67'), Novais (82')
Piazon (90+4')

Silva (85'), Tavares (88'), Otamendi (89'), Grimaldo (90+4')
Leite (17'), Taarabt (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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