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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Burnley logo

Arsenal
3 - 1
Burnley

Trossard (45+1'), Saliba (57'), Zinchenko (74')
Vieira (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Arsenal rise to second in the Premier League table with a 3-1 win over Burnley, despite seeing Fabio Vieira sent off late on.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Burnley.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Sevilla
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 13.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBurnley
69.7% (0.137 0.14) 17.13% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 13.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (0.23400000000001 0.23)33.57% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.63% (0.265 0.27)55.37% (-0.26 -0.26)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (0.093000000000004 0.09)8.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (0.21899999999999 0.22)29.85% (-0.213 -0.21)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.073 0.07)37.73% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.071000000000002 0.07)74.51% (-0.065999999999988 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 69.7%
    Burnley 13.17%
    Draw 17.13%
ArsenalDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.75% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.33% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.02 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 69.7%
1-1 @ 7.79% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.64%
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.13%
1-2 @ 3.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 13.17%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Burnley

Arsenal
81.5%
Draw
11.1%
Burnley
7.4%
135
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Arsenal
0-0
Burnley
Westwood (25'), Brownhill (30')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burnley
0-1
Arsenal

Barnes (19'), Westwood (29')
Odegaard (30')
Tavares (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Burnley
1-1
Arsenal
Wood (39')
Pieters (71')
Aubameyang (6')
Saka (55')
Dec 13, 2020 7.15pm
Gameweek 12
Arsenal
0-1
Burnley

Bellerin (71'), Elneny (73')
Xhaka (58')
Aubameyang (73' og.)
Brady (33')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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