Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
46.48% ( -0.11) | 25% ( 0) | 28.52% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% ( 0.07) | 48.27% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.58% ( 0.06) | 70.42% ( -0.06) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% ( -0.02) | 20.81% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.53% ( -0.03) | 53.47% ( 0.03) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% ( 0.11) | 30.88% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.83% ( 0.14) | 67.17% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.47% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |