Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
52.02% ( 0.01) | 23.35% ( -0.02) | 24.63% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.76% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.99% ( 0.12) | 44.01% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.61% ( 0.11) | 66.39% ( -0.11) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( 0.05) | 16.94% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% ( 0.08) | 47.02% ( -0.08) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.33% ( 0.07) | 31.67% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.92% ( 0.08) | 68.08% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.02% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |