Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for DC United had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
36.78% ( 0.11) | 25.06% ( 0.03) | 38.16% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 57.55% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.08% ( -0.11) | 45.92% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.77% ( -0.11) | 68.23% ( 0.11) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% ( 0.01) | 24.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.03% ( 0.01) | 58.97% ( -0.01) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% ( -0.12) | 23.76% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.09% ( -0.17) | 57.91% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |