Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
49.64% ( -0.3) | 24.67% ( -0.03) | 25.69% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 53.53% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.21% ( 0.4) | 48.79% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.11% ( 0.36) | 70.89% ( -0.36) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( 0.03) | 19.68% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.33% ( 0.05) | 51.67% ( -0.05) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.64% ( 0.49) | 33.36% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.02% ( 0.54) | 69.98% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |