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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Montreal
4 - 3
Cincinnati

Waterman (21'), Quioto (45+4', 59' pen.), Choiniere (46')
Waterman (53'), Camacho (86'), Hamdy (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moreno (12', 63'), Barreal (52')
Acosta (83'), Moreno (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Montreal vs. Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-2 FC Cincinnati

 Sunday's encounter is a difficult one to predict considering the last three results between the two teams; a goalless draw in August 2021 was sandwiched in between 5-4 and 4-3 victories for Montreal. Both sides will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points at the Saputo Stadium, but as there is little to separate them, they may have to settle for an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
64.76% (2.229 2.23) 19.99% (-0.542 -0.54) 15.25% (-1.693 -1.69)
Both teams to score 52.11% (-2.048 -2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.54% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)42.46% (0.786 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (-0.79499999999999 -0.79)64.87% (0.79000000000001 0.79)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.64% (0.392 0.39)12.36% (-0.397 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.8% (0.815 0.81)38.2% (-0.82 -0.82)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46% (-2.617 -2.62)40.54% (2.613 2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.85% (-2.452 -2.45)77.14% (2.447 2.45)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 64.76%
    FC Cincinnati 15.25%
    Draw 19.99%
CF MontrealDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.95% (0.7 0.7)
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.509 0.51)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.63% (0.592 0.59)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.364 0.36)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 64.76%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.357 -0.36)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.412 -0.41)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.25%

How you voted: Montreal vs Cincinnati

CF Montreal
52.9%
Draw
41.2%
FC Cincinnati
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Cincinnati
3-4
Montreal
Vazquez (12'), Johnston (20' og.), Acosta (61' pen.)
Gaddis (24'), Powell (28'), Blackett (90+1'), Acosta (90+4')
Mihailovic (17', 41'), Kamara (45+1'), Torres (67')
Waterman (70'), Breza (88'), Wanyama (90+4')
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Montreal

Cruz (36'), Matarrita (62'), Acosta (89'), Brenner (90+4')

Maciel (22'), Choiniere (26'), Camacho (68'), Camacho (74')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
5-4
Cincinnati
Toye (21', 72' pen.), Torres (34'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (74', 87')
Waterman (41'), Brault-Guillard (90')
Medunjanin (6'), Brenner (14', 46'), Vallecilla (42')
Kubo (28'), Vallecilla (31'), Brenner (45+1'), Vermeer (67'), Acosta (84')
May 22, 2021 6pm
Montreal
1-2
Cincinnati
Mihailovic (56')
Mihailovic (35'), Brault-Guillard (43'), Quioto (54'), Wanyama (89')
Locadia (70'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (86')
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Montreal
P-P
Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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