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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Walsall |
31.57% ( -3.02) | 29.4% ( 0.62) | 39.02% ( 2.4) |
Both teams to score 43.27% ( -2.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.47% ( -2.43) | 63.53% ( 2.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.15% ( -1.78) | 82.85% ( 1.78) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.32% ( -3.43) | 36.67% ( 3.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% ( -3.61) | 73.46% ( 3.61) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.33% ( 0.25) | 31.66% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.92% ( 0.29) | 68.08% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.63) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.59) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.25) Other @ 1.87% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.61% ( 1.01) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.4% | 0-1 @ 13.35% ( 1.24) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.76) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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