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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Oxford United

Shrewsbury
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Price (82')
Winchester (67'), Price (87'), Flanagan (87'), Marosi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bodin (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-3 Oxford United

Oxford United have enjoyed this fixture in recent seasons, taking victories from four of their last five trips to Shrewsbury and scoring three goals in three of these victories. While the visitors have scored a lot this season, they are also prone to conceding their fair share of goals, and we expect the hosts to get on the scoresheet in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawOxford United
31.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 42.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.54% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01)68.39% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)60.27%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 31.25%
    Oxford United 42.03%
    Draw 26.72%
Shrewsbury TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.28%
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.25%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 11.12%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Oxford Utd

Shrewsbury Town
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Oxford United
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
3-0
Shrewsbury
Stevens (17'), Brown (59'), Leigh (90+6')
Leigh (71'), Goodrham (80'), McEachran (88')

Anderson (47')
Anderson (58')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bowman (60')
Pennington (82')
Taylor (11'), Brannagan (82' pen.)
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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