Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 58.45%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.36%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
21.11% ( -0.26) | 20.44% ( -0.12) | 58.45% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 62.39% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.52% ( 0.22) | 34.48% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.59% ( 0.25) | 56.41% ( -0.25) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( -0.1) | 29.36% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.65% ( -0.12) | 65.34% ( 0.13) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.33% ( 0.18) | 11.67% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.27% ( 0.37) | 36.73% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 21.11% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.44% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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